Tennis · M25 Santander · 19/08, 14:00
Prediction: Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Sergi Perez Contri
Team pages: Bernardo Munk Mesa · Sergi Perez Contri
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Sergi Perez Contri
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Bernardo Munk Mesa
2-8 (W-L)
Sergi Perez Contri
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bernardo Munk Mesa
0–1
Sergi Perez Contri
(1 last)
- 24 Jun1-2 12-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1456 · Sergi Perez Contri 1532
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Sergi Perez Contri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sergi Perez Contri (rating 1456 vs 1532).
- Sergi Perez Contri is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Bernardo Munk Mesa 0–1 Sergi Perez Contri (1).
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Sergi Perez Contri makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Sergi Perez Contri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.7 | 12.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Bernardo Munk Mesa 0 – 1 Sergi Perez Contri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bernardo Munk Mesa 0–1 Sergi Perez Contri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 M25 Bakio | 1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernardo Munk Mesa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Yanaki Milev M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 19/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Mikel Martinez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Sergi Perez Contri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Pablo Aunion M25 Santander |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Denia |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Luis Garcia Paez M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Robin Bertrand M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Sergi Perez Contri?
Our model gives 69% to Sergi Perez Contri, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.