Tennis · W35 Bistrita · 19/08, 13:00
Prediction: Mariia Drobysheva vs Ilinca Sagmar
Team pages: Mariia Drobysheva · Ilinca Sagmar
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariia Drobysheva
Ilinca Sagmar
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mariia Drobysheva
3-7 (W-L)
Ilinca Sagmar
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariia Drobysheva 1480 · Ilinca Sagmar 1518
| Mariia Drobysheva | Ilinca Sagmar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mariia Drobysheva | Ilinca Sagmar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.5 | 9-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 53.6% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 55.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariia Drobysheva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Lavinia Luciano W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Lavinia Luciano W15 Rogaska Slatina |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Arabella Koller W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Melinda Biro W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Camilla Gennaro W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Laura Cilekova W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Federica Trevisan W15 Krsko |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Alja Senica W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 07/06 | Weronika Falkowska W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Ilinca Sagmar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Alesia Breaz W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Eszter Meri W15 Rogaska Slatina |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Gloria Levinsky W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Cluj Napoca |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Alexia Lavinia Puiac W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Iulia Maria Buculei W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Laura Brunkel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Alessandra Anghel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariia Drobysheva vs Ilinca Sagmar?
Our model gives 52% to Mariia Drobysheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.