Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 19/08, 13:30
Prediction: Elmer Moller vs Anton Matusevich
Team pages: Elmer Moller · Anton Matusevich
Prediction summary
Winner
Elmer Moller
Anton Matusevich
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Elmer Moller
5-5 (W-L)
Anton Matusevich
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elmer Moller
0–1
Anton Matusevich
(1 last)
- 20 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elmer Moller 1506 · Anton Matusevich 1568
| Elmer Moller | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anton Matusevich (rating 1506 vs 1568).
- Anton Matusevich is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Elmer Moller 0–1 Anton Matusevich (1).
- Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Elmer Moller | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.5 | 12.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 76.9% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 53.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Elmer Moller 0 – 1 Anton Matusevich (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elmer Moller 0–1 Anton Matusevich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/22 M25 Glasgow | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elmer Moller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Thomas Faurel ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Anton Matusevich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Emile Hudd M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Conor Gannon M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Nikola Djosic Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elmer Moller vs Anton Matusevich?
Our model gives 56% to Anton Matusevich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.