Tennis · M15 Arad · 19/08, 09:00

Prediction: Valentin Vanta vs Leonardo Angeloni

Team pages: Valentin Vanta · Leonardo Angeloni

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Valentin Vanta Leonardo Angeloni
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Vanta 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLWLWL
Leonardo Angeloni 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valentin Vanta 1448 · Leonardo Angeloni 1494
Valentin VantaLeonardo Angeloni
Our model43%57%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leonardo Angeloni (rating 1448 vs 1494).

Statistics

Valentin VantaLeonardo Angeloni
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 17% (6) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1-1.51.1-1
Games (G-P)8.4-109.6-8.7
Aces0.10.9
Double faults0.82.3
1st serve %61.6%59.1%
Break %55.1%47.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valentin Vanta

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Trisztan Gubi
M15 Arad
2-1 9-7 W
14/07 David Cristian Carteputreda
M15 Slobozia
1-2 8-11 L
08/07 Ergi Kirkin
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
07/07 Iulius Maximus Stoica
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
02/06 Alexey Dubinin
M25 Bistrita · ~Clay
1-2 9-10 L
19/05 Phil Dungs
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
04/03 Daniel Lechner
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
03/03 Arthur Laborde
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
1-2 11-9 L
22/02 Stefan Adrian Andreescu
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
20/02 Gabriel Ghetu
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 8-18 L

Leonardo Angeloni

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Adam Gabor Szoke
M15 Arad
2-0 12-5 W
12/08 Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 13-5 W
11/08 Adrian Constantin
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-3 W
03/08 Timeo Trufelli
M25 Fano
0-2 10-13 L
26/07 Daniel Lechner
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
1-2 9-10 L
14/07 Andrea De Marchi
M15 Gubbio
0-2 3-12 L
13/07 Boris Sarritzu
M15 Gubbio
2-0 13-7 W
01/07 Matyas Cerny
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
29/06 Trisztan Gubi
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
30/03 Alberto Bronzetti
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valentin Vanta vs Leonardo Angeloni?

Our model gives 62% to Leonardo Angeloni, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.