Tennis · M15 Arad · 19/08, 09:00

Prediction: Andrea Paolini vs Anas Mazdrashki

Team pages: Andrea Paolini · Anas Mazdrashki

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Andrea Paolini Anas Mazdrashki
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Paolini 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLLLWWWW
Anas Mazdrashki 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andrea Paolini 1509 · Anas Mazdrashki 1467
Andrea PaoliniAnas Mazdrashki
Our model56%44%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Paolini (rating 1509 vs 1467).

Statistics

Andrea PaoliniAnas Mazdrashki
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.90.9-1.2
Games (G-P)10.8-88.3-10.1
Aces1.21.2
Double faults1.31.1
1st serve %64.1%62%
Break %54.5%44.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andrea Paolini

LWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Pavel Skvortcov
M15 Arad
2-0 13-9 W
13/08 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-4 W
12/08 Andrei Corneliu Gadoiu
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-2 W
11/08 Yannick Castelnuovo
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-1 W
13/07 Gabriele Vulpitta
M15 Gubbio
1-2 9-9 L
07/07 Sean Daryabeigi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/07 Alexander Frusina
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
01/07 Lukas Pokorny
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-12 W
30/06 Photos Photiades
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/06 Dominick Mosejczuk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L

Anas Mazdrashki

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Pavel Lagutin
M15 Xativa
0-2 4-12 L
21/07 Carlos Lopez Montagud
M25 Denia
1-2 15-16 L
17/07 Reda Bennani
M25 Gandia
0-2 3-12 L
16/07 Ludvig Fredrik Hede
M25 Gandia
2-0 7-2 W
15/07 Joan Torres Espinosa
M25 Gandia
2-0 13-9 W
21/06 Nikita Belozertsev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/06 Cezar Gabriel Papoe
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
16/06 Gabriel Ghetu
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
14/06 Radu Mihai Papoe
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
13/06 Stefan Adrian Andreescu
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andrea Paolini vs Anas Mazdrashki?

Our model gives 59% to Anas Mazdrashki, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.