Tennis · M15 Arad · 19/08, 09:00

Prediction: Sebastian Gima vs Giovanni Ciocca

Team pages: Sebastian Gima · Giovanni Ciocca

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Sebastian Gima Giovanni Ciocca
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Gima 4-6 (W-L)
WWLWWLLLLL
Giovanni Ciocca 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sebastian Gima 1471 · Giovanni Ciocca 1436
Sebastian GimaGiovanni Ciocca
Our model55%45%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Sebastian GimaGiovanni Ciocca
Win %40%20%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.30.5-1.6
Games (G-P)9.5-10.27.7-11.3
Aces1.80.8
Double faults33.2
1st serve %62.4%54%
Break %32.7%42.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sebastian Gima

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Francesco Ferrari
M25 Pitesti
0-2 4-12 L
23/07 Matei Florin Breazu
M25 Bacau
0-2 4-12 L
23/07 Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli
M25 Bacau
2-1 17-9 W
30/06 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
29/06 Radu Albot
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
24/06 Andrej Nedic
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
1-2 15-19 L
23/06 Denis Yevseyev
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
22/06 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
21/06 Adil Kalyanpur
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
18/06 Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Giovanni Ciocca

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Louis Allen
M15 Arad
2-0 12-7 W
12/08 Ignacio Monzon
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 6-12 L
11/08 Carles Rojas
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 6-12 L
05/08 Fermin Tenti
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L
04/08 Jose Murariu
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Preston Brown
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
13/07 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
08/07 Ofek Shimanov
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
13/05 Udit Kamboj
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
1-2 10-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sebastian Gima vs Giovanni Ciocca?

Our model gives 73% to Sebastian Gima, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.