Tennis · M15 Asuncion · 18/08, 17:00
Prediction: Bautista De La Pena vs Nathan Cox
Team pages: Bautista De La Pena · Nathan Cox
Prediction summary
Winner
Bautista De La Pena
Nathan Cox
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Bautista De La Pena
4-6 (W-L)
Nathan Cox
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bautista De La Pena 1456 · Nathan Cox 1463
| Bautista De La Pena | Nathan Cox | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Bautista De La Pena | Nathan Cox | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-10.7 | 10.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 32.8% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bautista De La Pena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Jackson Pereira Xavier M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Bastian Malla M15 Sao Paulo |
0-1 | 3-8 | L |
| 21/07 | Santiago Pesino M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Joao Ogando Monteiro Machado M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Luis Jose Nakamine M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Luis Felipe Miguel M15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Rafael Augusto Garcia Finetto M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Nathan Cox
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 17/07 | Axel Nefve M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Zac Hamill M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Jonah Braswell M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 23/06 | Hiroki Sakagawa M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 18/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Aadarsh Tripathi M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Liam Krall M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Noah Zamora M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Arnav Bhandari M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bautista De La Pena vs Nathan Cox?
Our model gives 69% to Nathan Cox, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.