Tennis · M15 Asuncion · 18/08, 17:00

Prediction: Corey Craig vs Santiago De La Fuente

Team pages: Santiago De La Fuente

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Corey Craig Santiago De La Fuente
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Corey Craig 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWLW
Santiago De La Fuente 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corey Craig 1560 · Santiago De La Fuente 1505
Corey CraigSantiago De La Fuente
Our model58%42%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corey Craig (rating 1560 vs 1505).
  • Corey Craig is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Corey CraigSantiago De La Fuente
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.70.9-1.4
Games (G-P)10.2-7.810-11.2
Aces1.20.6
Double faults1.11.4
1st serve %64.8%57.9%
Break %46.1%58.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corey Craig

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/08 Rocco Valente
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 7-1 W
05/07 Sebastian Sec
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
04/07 Jon Gamble
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
14/05 Christian Langmo
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
1-2 12-13 L
13/05 Liam Krall
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
04/12 Youcef Rihane
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
03/12 Andreas Scott
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/12 John Bernard
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
20/11 Maik Steiner
ITF M15 Tallahassee · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/11 Matthew Thomson
ITF M15 Tallahassee · Hard
1-0 6-3 W

Santiago De La Fuente

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/08 Gonzalo Villanueva
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
13/08 Dakotah Bobo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 13-11 W
12/08 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
11/08 Alvaro Frutos Alonso
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/07 Fermin Tenti
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 5-10 L
17/06 Matias Soto
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
16/06 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-1 16-15 W
09/06 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
12/05 Murkel Dellien
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
05/05 Franco Roncadelli
Challenger Santos · Clay
0-2 10-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corey Craig vs Santiago De La Fuente?

Our model gives 55% to Santiago De La Fuente, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.