Tennis · M15 Asuncion · 18/08, 14:00
Prediction: Santiago Giamichelle vs Maxwell Exsted
Team pages: Santiago Giamichelle · Maxwell Exsted
Prediction summary
Winner
Santiago Giamichelle
Maxwell Exsted
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Giamichelle
7-3 (W-L)
Maxwell Exsted
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Giamichelle 1516 · Maxwell Exsted 1550
| Santiago Giamichelle | Maxwell Exsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Santiago Giamichelle | Maxwell Exsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.2 | 9.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Giamichelle
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Agustin Fernandez Badia M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Santiago Pesino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 16/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 23/05 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/05 | Wilson Leite M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Maxwell Exsted
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/08 | Nicolas Villalon M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Tomas Martinez M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Maximus Dussault M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele M25 Southaven |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 31/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Samir Banerjee M25 Edwardsville |
1-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Benjamin Berger M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Giamichelle vs Maxwell Exsted?
Our model gives 63% to Maxwell Exsted, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.