Tennis · M15 Asuncion · 18/08, 14:00

Prediction: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago

Team pages: Gonzalo Villanueva · Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago

Prediction summary
Winner
84% 16%
Gonzalo Villanueva Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Villanueva 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWWL
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gonzalo Villanueva 1588 · Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago 1421
Gonzalo VillanuevaJoao Vitor Scramin do Lago
Our model72%28%
Market94%6%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalo Villanueva (rating 1588 vs 1421).
  • Gonzalo Villanueva is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Gonzalo VillanuevaJoao Vitor Scramin do Lago
Win %70%20%
Win % · Clay 75% (8) 0% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.60.7-1.5
Games (G-P)11.6-8.27.5-11.1
Aces2.80.1
Double faults1.54
1st serve %65.8%49.7%
Break %50.2%40.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gonzalo Villanueva

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/08 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
14/08 Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
13/08 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
12/08 Nicolas Bruna
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
23/07 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Segovia · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
21/07 Ilya Ivashka
Challenger Segovia · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
18/07 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
17/07 Stefano Napolitano
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
15/07 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
14/07 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Mateo Del Pino
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
04/08 Juan Estevez
M25 Londrina
0-2 2-12 L
03/08 Jackson Ross
M25 Londrina
2-0 12-2 W
30/07 Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Sao Paulo
1-2 8-17 L
29/07 Gustavo Albieri
M15 Sao Paulo
2-0 13-8 W
28/07 Gustavo Albieri
M15 Sao Paulo
0-1 4-6 L
22/07 Juan Estevez
M25 Sao Paulo
1-2 10-16 L
20/05 Rafael Tosetto
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
14/05 Nicolas Bruna
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
04/05 Gabriel Schenekenberg
Challenger Santos · Clay
1-2 13-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Villanueva vs Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago?

Our model gives 84% to Gonzalo Villanueva, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.