Tennis · W15 Wanfercee-Baulet · 19/08, 10:00

Prediction: Lisa Claeys vs Demi Tran

Team pages: Lisa Claeys · Demi Tran

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Lisa Claeys Demi Tran
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lisa Claeys 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWWWLL
Demi Tran 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lisa Claeys 1523 · Demi Tran 1431
Lisa ClaeysDemi Tran
Our model63%37%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lisa Claeys (rating 1523 vs 1431).
  • Lisa Claeys is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Lisa Claeys makes many double faults (4.4/match).
  • Note: Demi Tran makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Lisa ClaeysDemi Tran
Win %50%20%
Win % · Clay 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.10.6-1.6
Games (G-P)10.1-9.97.7-11.3
Aces1.10.2
Double faults4.44.4
1st serve %60.7%53.3%
Break %48%40.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lisa Claeys

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Diana Martynov
W75 Koksijde
0-2 5-12 L
27/07 Anastasiia Firman
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 3-12 L
26/07 Martina Lo Pumo
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-2 W
21/07 Kim Chiarello
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
1-2 14-17 L
05/07 Neus Torner Sensano
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 15-12 W
04/07 Shannon Lam
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
02/07 Cayetana Gay
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
01/07 Jessica Bertoldo
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 Fabienne Gettwart
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
20/06 Marie Vogt
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L

Demi Tran

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/08 Marie Vogt
W50 Hamburg
0-2 3-12 L
09/08 Georgina Groth
W50 Hamburg
2-0 13-7 W
02/08 Valentina Ivanov
W75 Koksijde
0-2 3-12 L
29/07 Laura Hietaranta
W100 Gran Canaria
1-2 13-15 L
27/07 Gabriela Paun
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 7-12 L
26/07 Noemi Maines
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Anna Shkutova
W15 Gran Canaria
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Zoziya Kardava
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 11-14 L
08/07 Valentina Ryser
W35 Don Benito
0-2 6-12 L
24/05 Irem Kurt
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lisa Claeys vs Demi Tran?

Our model gives 61% to Lisa Claeys, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.