Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 18/08, 10:30

Prediction: Franco Ariel Vazquez vs Andrea Motta

Team pages: Franco Ariel Vazquez · Andrea Motta

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Franco Ariel Vazquez Andrea Motta
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Franco Ariel Vazquez 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLWLLWL
Andrea Motta 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Franco Ariel Vazquez 1441 · Andrea Motta 1451
Franco Ariel VazquezAndrea Motta
Our model49%51%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Franco Ariel VazquezAndrea Motta
Win %30%30%
Win % · Clay 30% (10) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.41.1-1.5
Games (G-P)5.4-9.811.1-11.8
Aces0.11.4
Double faults2.12.9
1st serve %52.6%65.5%
Break %36%38%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Franco Ariel Vazquez

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Marat Sharipov
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/08 Pavlo Bodnarchuk
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
04/08 Alexander Zgirovsky
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 1-11 L
10/06 Carlos Giraldi
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
09/06 Federico Valle
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-0 6-3 W
06/05 Gonzalo Villanueva
M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
05/05 Vicente Jose Benitez
M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay
1-2 7-13 L
28/04 Mateo Del Pino
M25 Lujan · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/04 Ramiro Amarilla
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
10/04 Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Andrea Motta

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 13-14 L
28/07 Ansar Niyetkaliyev
M15 Astana
1-2 11-11 L
27/07 Rafael Giotis
M15 Astana
2-1 11-10 W
06/05 Lorenzo Bocchi
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 14-19 L
10/02 Vlad Andrei Dancu
M25 Antalya · ~Hard
1-2 9-8 L
04/02 Alexander Wagner
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
03/02 Botond Nagy
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
05/11 Maksim Shin
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
1-2 15-18 L
15/10 Corentin Denolly
ITF M25 Kigali · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
13/10 Ioan A Teglas
ITF M25 Kigali · Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Franco Ariel Vazquez vs Andrea Motta?

Our model gives 67% to Andrea Motta, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.