Tennis · W15 Campos do Jordao · 18/08, 18:30
Prediction: Camila Markus vs Marjorie Souza
Team pages: Camila Markus · Marjorie Souza
Prediction summary
Winner
Camila Markus
Marjorie Souza
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Camila Markus
2-8 (W-L)
Marjorie Souza
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Camila Markus 1415 · Marjorie Souza 1533
| Camila Markus | Marjorie Souza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marjorie Souza (rating 1415 vs 1533).
- Marjorie Souza is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Camila Markus makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Marjorie Souza makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Camila Markus | Marjorie Souza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-11.2 | 10.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 51.4% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Camila Markus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Laura Badia W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Paula Cembranos W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Francesca Mattioli W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/03 | Madison Sieg W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Sara Dols W15 Santiago |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Sofia Magali Barreto Scholz W15 Santiago |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/01 | Victoria Bosio W35 Buenos Aires |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Caira Delfina Vega Gudino W35 Buenos Aires |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/01 | Luciana Agudelo W50 Buenos Aires |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Marjorie Souza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Lan Mi W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Victoria Luiza Barros W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Maria Fernanda Lopes W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Juliana Rodriguez W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/07 | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Oceane Babel W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Luiza Fullana W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Camila Markus vs Marjorie Souza?
Our model gives 78% to Marjorie Souza, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.