Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 19/08, 10:00
Prediction: Weronika Falkowska vs Lisa Zaar
Team pages: Weronika Falkowska · Lisa Zaar
Prediction summary
Winner
Weronika Falkowska
Lisa Zaar
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Weronika Falkowska
6-4 (W-L)
Lisa Zaar
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Weronika Falkowska 1562 · Lisa Zaar 1478
| Weronika Falkowska | Lisa Zaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weronika Falkowska (rating 1562 vs 1478).
- Weronika Falkowska is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Weronika Falkowska makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Weronika Falkowska | Lisa Zaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12.3 | 11.2-12.7 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 0 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 51.8% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Weronika Falkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 03/08 | Amelia Paszun WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Chloe Noel W50 Dublin |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Deniz Dilek WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Panshina WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Daria Zelinskaya WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Eva Vedder W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Carolina Alves W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
Lisa Zaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Mia Ristic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Sofya Lansere W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/08 | Lia Karatancheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Elena Malygina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Madison Sieg W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Iva Ivanova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Weronika Falkowska vs Lisa Zaar?
Our model gives 55% to Lisa Zaar, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.