Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 18/08, 18:30
Prediction: Garrett Johns vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Team pages: Garrett Johns · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Prediction summary
Winner
Garrett Johns
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Garrett Johns
5-5 (W-L)
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Garrett Johns 1505 · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 1586
| Garrett Johns | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos (rating 1505 vs 1586).
- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Garrett Johns | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13 | 14.5-12.1 |
| Aces | 3 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Garrett Johns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Timo Legout Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Alan Magadan ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 22/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 20/07 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 08/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 06/08 | Salvador Price M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Wilson Leite M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Mateus Alves M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 30/07 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/07 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Garrett Johns vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos?
Our model gives 54% to Garrett Johns, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.