Tennis · M15 Arad · 18/08, 10:00

Prediction: Federico Valle vs Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan

Team pages: Federico Valle · Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Federico Valle Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Valle 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWWLWLLL
Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federico Valle 1475 · Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan 1410
Federico ValleAlexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan
Our model59%41%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Valle (rating 1475 vs 1410).
  • Federico Valle is in better form: 50% recent wins.

Statistics

Federico ValleAlexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan
Win %50%10%
Win % · Clay 50% (8) 0% (4)
Sets (G-P)1-1.20.3-1.8
Games (G-P)8.6-10.56.6-11.5
Aces21.7
Double faults3.12.6
1st serve %60.8%54.7%
Break %46.1%45%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federico Valle

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/08 Calin Apostol
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-1 12-11 W
29/07 Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
M25 Pitesti
0-2 6-12 L
27/07 Cesar Stefan Bentzel
M25 Pitesti
2-1 8-11 W
01/07 Andrea M'chich
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
30/06 Abdulhamid Mubarak
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
29/06 Adam Nizar Bouyacoub
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
24/06 Ali Missoum
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
23/06 Sam Kydd Baumgartner
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-1 12-12 W
09/06 Franco Ariel Vazquez
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-1 3-6 L

Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Fermin Tenti
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 7-13 L
11/08 Giovanni Boi
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-5 W
04/08 Freddy Murray
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
27/07 Uladzimir Ignatik
M25 Pitesti
0-2 2-12 L
03/06 Radu Mihai Papoe
M25 Bistrita · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/06 Matei Florin Breazu
M25 Bistrita · ~Clay
0-2 0-12 L
19/05 Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 5-13 L
03/03 Drew Van Orderlain
M15 Sherbrooke
0-2 9-12 L
10/02 Tim Vaisman
M25 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
03/02 Kosuke Shibano
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
1-2 10-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federico Valle vs Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan?

Our model gives 64% to Federico Valle, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.