Tennis · W35 Bistrita · 18/08, 08:30
Prediction: Lavinia Luciano vs Mariia Drobysheva
Team pages: Lavinia Luciano · Mariia Drobysheva
Prediction summary
Winner
Lavinia Luciano
Mariia Drobysheva
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lavinia Luciano
5-5 (W-L)
Mariia Drobysheva
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lavinia Luciano
1–0
Mariia Drobysheva
(1 last)
- 30 Jul2-1 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lavinia Luciano 1501 · Mariia Drobysheva 1451
| Lavinia Luciano | Mariia Drobysheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lavinia Luciano (rating 1501 vs 1451).
- Head-to-head: Lavinia Luciano 1–0 Mariia Drobysheva (1).
- Note: Lavinia Luciano makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Lavinia Luciano | Mariia Drobysheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.1 | 9.4-10 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 55.9% | 56.6% |
| Break % | 59.8% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Lavinia Luciano 1 – 0 Mariia Drobysheva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lavinia Luciano 1–0 Mariia Drobysheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/26 W15 Rogaska Slatina | 2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lavinia Luciano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Naomi McKenzie W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Sara Mikaca W15 Rogaska Slatina |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Mariia Drobysheva W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Kaja Najzer W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Torino |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Nicole Gadient W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Anastasia Safta W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Anamaria Federica Oana W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Simona Ogescu W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Mariia Drobysheva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Lavinia Luciano W15 Rogaska Slatina |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Arabella Koller W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Melinda Biro W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Camilla Gennaro W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Laura Cilekova W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Federica Trevisan W15 Krsko |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Alja Senica W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 07/06 | Weronika Falkowska W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Lucie Petruzelova W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lavinia Luciano vs Mariia Drobysheva?
Our model gives 55% to Mariia Drobysheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.