Tennis · W35 Bistrita · 18/08, 10:00

Prediction: Alesia Breaz vs Ilinca Sagmar

Team pages: Alesia Breaz · Ilinca Sagmar

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Alesia Breaz Ilinca Sagmar
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alesia Breaz 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLWLLLW
Ilinca Sagmar 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alesia Breaz 1464 · Ilinca Sagmar 1486
Alesia BreazIlinca Sagmar
Our model47%53%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Alesia Breaz makes many double faults (7.4/match).

Statistics

Alesia BreazIlinca Sagmar
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31-1.3
Games (G-P)10.1-11.79.1-10.9
Aces0.70.6
Double faults7.43.2
1st serve %53.3%54.2%
Break %53.6%56%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alesia Breaz

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Angelica Raggi
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
28/07 Laura Samsonova
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
22/07 Agnese Gentili
W15 Cluj Napoca
1-2 10-15 L
08/07 Pia Lovric
W35 Buzau
1-2 10-16 L
07/07 Kaat Coppez
W35 Buzau
2-0 13-9 W
06/07 Anastasia Safta
W35 Buzau
2-1 14-12 W
25/06 Sara Victoria Balan
W15 Galati · ~Clay
0-2 10-14 L
23/06 Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa
W15 Galati · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
19/06 Daria Yesypchuk
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 0-12 L
18/06 Giulia Safina Popa
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Ilinca Sagmar

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Eszter Meri
W15 Rogaska Slatina
0-2 1-12 L
28/07 Gloria Levinsky
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-1 12-9 W
22/07 Giulia Safina Popa
W15 Cluj Napoca
1-2 12-16 L
06/07 Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
W35 Buzau
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Marta Soriano Santiago
W15 Galati · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
23/06 Alexia Lavinia Puiac
W15 Galati · ~Clay
2-0 11-6 W
18/06 Iulia Maria Buculei
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
1-2 8-17 L
17/06 Laura Brunkel
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
16/06 Alessandra Anghel
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/05 Elena Korokozidi
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 10-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alesia Breaz vs Ilinca Sagmar?

Our model gives 61% to Alesia Breaz, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.