Tennis · W15 Logrono · 18/08, 13:00
Prediction: Paula Cembranos vs Iveta Dapkute
Team pages: Iveta Dapkute
Prediction summary
Winner
Paula Cembranos
Iveta Dapkute
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Paula Cembranos
6-4 (W-L)
Iveta Dapkute
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paula Cembranos 1551 · Iveta Dapkute 1461
| Paula Cembranos | Iveta Dapkute | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paula Cembranos (rating 1551 vs 1461).
- Paula Cembranos is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Paula Cembranos makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Iveta Dapkute makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Paula Cembranos | Iveta Dapkute | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.3 | 9.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paula Cembranos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Ella Mcdonald W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Lina Glushko W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Mio Mushika W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Mia Wainwright W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Lois Newberry W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Julia Stusek W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Chelsea Fontenel W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 27/07 | Julia Stamatova W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Anastasiia Firman W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Camila Markus W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Iveta Dapkute
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Hanna Bougouffa W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sofia Avataneo W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Celia Anson Sanchez W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Elizabeth Coleman W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Amanda Montes Khaghani W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Yeon Woo Ku W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Abigail Rencheli W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paula Cembranos vs Iveta Dapkute?
Our model gives 63% to Paula Cembranos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.