Tennis · M15 Asuncion · 17/08, 21:30
Prediction: Santiago Pesino vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
Team pages: Santiago Pesino · Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
Prediction summary
Winner
Santiago Pesino
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Pesino
4-6 (W-L)
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Pesino 1506 · Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 1391
| Santiago Pesino | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Pesino (rating 1506 vs 1391).
- Santiago Pesino is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Santiago Pesino | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 0% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.8 | 9.3-13.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 54.4% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Pesino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Nicolas Baena M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Salvador Price M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Bautista De La Pena M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Felipe Mifano Pinto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Tomas Jordi Leston M15 Villa Constitucion |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 07/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Dante Teramo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Jackson Pereira Xavier M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-7 | L |
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Bautista Leguizamon UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Felipe Pagnacco UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Nikos Lehmann UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Mateo Carballo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Pesino vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo?
Our model gives 66% to Santiago Pesino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.