Tennis · W15 Logrono · 18/08, 13:00
Prediction: Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals vs Zoziya Kardava
Team pages: Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals · Zoziya Kardava
Prediction summary
Winner
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Zoziya Kardava
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
4-6 (W-L)
Zoziya Kardava
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals 1429 · Zoziya Kardava 1544
| Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | Zoziya Kardava | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zoziya Kardava (rating 1429 vs 1544).
- Zoziya Kardava is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Zoziya Kardava makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | Zoziya Kardava | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-12.7 | 12-10 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 49.6% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Denislava Glushkova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Noemi Maines W15 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 10/02 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Manacor |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 13/11 | Cristina Diaz Adrover ITF W15 Nules · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 11/11 | Ginebra Zoe Dominguez Riveros ITF W15 Nules · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Stefaniya Pushkar ITF W15 Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Neus Torner Sensano ITF W35 Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Aleksandra Pozarenko ITF W35 Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
Zoziya Kardava
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Kira Pavlova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Demi Tran W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Alice Ferlito W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 12/07 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Seda Baslilar W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Madalena Matias W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/06 | Khrystyna Vozniak W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Carlota Corte W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals vs Zoziya Kardava?
Our model gives 77% to Zoziya Kardava, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.