Tennis · W15 Logrono · 18/08, 13:00

Prediction: Yuliya Hatouka vs Lucia Llinares Domingo

Team pages: Yuliya Hatouka · Lucia Llinares Domingo

Prediction summary
Winner
78% 22%
Yuliya Hatouka Lucia Llinares Domingo
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yuliya Hatouka 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLWWLLW
Lucia Llinares Domingo 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuliya Hatouka 1514 · Lucia Llinares Domingo 1419
Yuliya HatoukaLucia Llinares Domingo
Our model63%37%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuliya Hatouka (rating 1514 vs 1419).
  • Yuliya Hatouka is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Yuliya Hatouka makes many double faults (8/match).
  • Note: Lucia Llinares Domingo makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Yuliya HatoukaLucia Llinares Domingo
Win %50%20%
Win % · Hard 71% (7) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.9-1.7
Games (G-P)10-10.311.3-13.2
Aces0.61.9
Double faults85.4
1st serve %62.7%57.5%
Break %47.1%54%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuliya Hatouka

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Daria Khomutsianskaya
W35 Vigo
1-2 17-18 L
02/08 Aleksandra Iankovskaia
W75 Ourense
1-2 10-13 L
22/06 Viola Turini
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
07/05 Eva Lopez
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
1-1 8-5 W
05/05 Adithya Karunaratne
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
08/04 Vlada Mincheva
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
05/04 Mara Guth
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
04/04 Valentina Ivanov
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
04/04 Eliz Maloney
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/04 Esther Adeshina
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W

Lucia Llinares Domingo

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/08 Darya Velikova
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Aurora Corvi
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
27/07 Doroteja Petrovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
15/07 Zoe Ulrich
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
08/07 Aya El Sayed
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
29/06 Lucia Ros Parres
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
22/06 Raquel Gonzalez Vilar
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
1-2 16-19 L
21/06 Maria De La Paz Alberto
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-1 19-13 W
09/06 Alba Maria Coromina Boluda
W15 Madrid
1-2 9-11 L
04/06 Raquel Gonzalez Vilar
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
1-2 13-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuliya Hatouka vs Lucia Llinares Domingo?

Our model gives 78% to Yuliya Hatouka, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.