Tennis · UTR Pro East Lansing · 21/08, 20:30

Prediction: Evan Lee vs Noah Folkesson Doudy

Team pages: Evan Lee · Noah Folkesson Doudy

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Evan Lee Noah Folkesson Doudy
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Lee 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWWLLLLL
Noah Folkesson Doudy 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Evan Lee 1446 · Noah Folkesson Doudy 1521
Evan LeeNoah Folkesson Doudy
Our model39%61%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noah Folkesson Doudy (rating 1446 vs 1521).
  • Noah Folkesson Doudy is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Evan Lee makes many double faults (6.6/match).
  • Note: Noah Folkesson Doudy makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Evan LeeNoah Folkesson Doudy
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 30% (10) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-1.51.4-1.2
Games (G-P)9.5-12.211.8-12.1
Aces1.91
Double faults6.64
1st serve %63.1%59.7%
Break %35.4%46.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Evan Lee

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Henry Lamchinniah
UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard
1-2 8-17 L
18/08 Andrew Gordon
UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
17/08 Max Sheldon
UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
24/07 Lorenzo Brunkow
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
23/07 David Duong
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 8-16 L
22/07 Dev Mangat
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/07 Finn Willman
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/07 Connor Robb-Wilcox
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
15/07 Douglas Yaffa
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 10-15 L
14/07 Yashwin Krishnakumar
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Noah Folkesson Doudy

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/08 Andrew Gordon
UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
18/08 Max Sheldon
UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard
1-2 10-15 L
17/08 Henry Lamchinniah
UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/07 Cian McDonnell
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-1 13-11 W
15/07 Ander Tarrio Ponte
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
14/07 Jakub Volesky
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
13/07 Timo De Visser
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
26/06 Deni Zmak
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
25/06 Ander Tarrio Ponte
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-1 16-17 W
24/06 Kai-Luca Ampaw
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-1 14-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Evan Lee vs Noah Folkesson Doudy?

Our model gives 53% to Noah Folkesson Doudy, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.