Tennis · W35 Bistrita · 19/08, 09:00

Prediction: Jessica Pieri vs Federica Sacco

Team pages: Jessica Pieri · Federica Sacco

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Jessica Pieri Federica Sacco
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jessica Pieri 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLLLLWL
Federica Sacco 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jessica Pieri 1399 · Federica Sacco 1514
Jessica PieriFederica Sacco
Our model34%66%
Market51%49%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federica Sacco (rating 1399 vs 1514).
  • Federica Sacco is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Jessica PieriFederica Sacco
Win %10%60%
Win % · Clay 14% (7) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.3-1.91.4-0.9
Games (G-P)6.4-12.411.4-8.7
Aces01.7
Double faults2.82.1
1st serve %45.9%62.2%
Break %42.6%56.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jessica Pieri

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Anastasia Tikhonova
W50 Hamburg
0-2 5-12 L
20/07 Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Hamburg · Clay
1-2 8-12 L
14/07 Nuria Brancaccio
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Mia Ristic
W75 The Hague
0-2 2-12 L
09/06 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
WTA Modena · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
03/06 Deborah Chiesa
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
05/05 Han Shi
WTA Jiujiang · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
27/04 Sijia Wei
WTA Huzhou · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
12/04 Alina Charaeva
WTA Rouen · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
11/04 Oceane Babel
WTA Rouen · Clay
2-1 16-14 W

Federica Sacco

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Maia Ilinca Burcescu
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
25/07 Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/07 Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
23/07 Beatrice Stagno
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
21/07 Kristina Kovgan
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
08/07 Ekaterina Kazionova
W35 Buzau
1-2 11-13 L
07/07 Carlota Martinez Cirez
W35 Buzau
2-0 13-10 W
06/07 Annemarie Lazar
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-5 W
19/06 Martina Colmegna
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
1-2 13-13 L
18/06 Maria Mikhailova
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jessica Pieri vs Federica Sacco?

Our model gives 56% to Federica Sacco, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.