Prediction: Andrea De Marchi vs Francesco Forti
Team pages: Andrea De Marchi · Francesco Forti
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea De Marchi
Francesco Forti
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea De Marchi
7-3 (W-L)
Francesco Forti
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea De Marchi 1581 · Francesco Forti 1477
| Andrea De Marchi | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea De Marchi (rating 1581 vs 1477).
- Andrea De Marchi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Andrea De Marchi | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.1 | 10.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea De Marchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Marko Maksimovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Savva Rybkin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Nikola Jovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Francesco Forti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Michele Mecarelli Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Federico Coria Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Federico Zeballos Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Peter Makk Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Pietro Pampanin Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea De Marchi vs Francesco Forti?
Our model gives 51% to Francesco Forti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.