Tennis · M15 Arad · 19/08, 09:00

Prediction: Jacopo Bilardo vs Jeremy Gschwendtner

Team pages: Jacopo Bilardo · Jeremy Gschwendtner

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Jacopo Bilardo Jeremy Gschwendtner
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jacopo Bilardo 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWWLWLLL
Jeremy Gschwendtner 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jacopo Bilardo 1457 · Jeremy Gschwendtner 1528
Jacopo BilardoJeremy Gschwendtner
Our model40%60%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jeremy Gschwendtner (rating 1457 vs 1528).
  • Jeremy Gschwendtner is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Jacopo Bilardo makes many double faults (5/match).
  • Note: Jeremy Gschwendtner makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Jacopo BilardoJeremy Gschwendtner
Win %30%60%
Win % · Clay 29% (7) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.61.4-1
Games (G-P)10.8-12.511.8-10.5
Aces1.11.7
Double faults54.6
1st serve %66.2%61.2%
Break %41.9%54.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jacopo Bilardo

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Fermin Tenti
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 7-13 L
12/08 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M15 Targu Jiu
2-1 14-14 W
15/07 Martin Van Der Meerschen
M15 Gubbio
0-2 4-12 L
28/06 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Milan · Clay
1-2 11-18 L
22/06 Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
16/06 Viktor Durasovic
M25 Milano · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L
11/06 Gabriele Piraino
M15 Messina · ~Clay
1-2 13-12 L
10/06 Giorgio Tabacco
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-1 19-12 W
08/06 Daniel Bagnolini
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
27/05 Matyas Fuele
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Jeremy Gschwendtner

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Thomas Drayton
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-6 W
06/08 Gregor Hausberger
M15 Bielsko Biala
1-2 14-17 L
04/08 Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-1 17-16 W
15/07 Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Nova Gorica
1-2 12-13 L
09/07 Lorenzo Balducci
M15 Lodz
0-2 4-12 L
08/07 Oliwier Sterniczuk
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Vincent Dullinger
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
1-2 16-18 L
24/06 Jeremy Schifris
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/06 Sebastian Gima
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
1-1 7-5 W
10/06 Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jacopo Bilardo vs Jeremy Gschwendtner?

Our model gives 55% to Jeremy Gschwendtner, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.