Tennis · M15 Arad · 19/08, 09:00

Prediction: Francesco Ferrari vs Vlad Cristian Breazu

Team pages: Francesco Ferrari · Vlad Cristian Breazu

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Francesco Ferrari Vlad Cristian Breazu
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Ferrari 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWWLWLW
Vlad Cristian Breazu 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWWL
Head-to-head
Francesco Ferrari 1–0 Vlad Cristian Breazu (1 last)
  • 03 Jul2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Francesco Ferrari 1493 · Vlad Cristian Breazu 1598
Francesco FerrariVlad Cristian Breazu
Our model35%65%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vlad Cristian Breazu (rating 1493 vs 1598).
  • Vlad Cristian Breazu is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Francesco Ferrari 1–0 Vlad Cristian Breazu (1).

Statistics

Francesco FerrariVlad Cristian Breazu
Win %50%80%
Win % · Clay 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.6-0.6
Games (G-P)9.1-1011.2-6.6
Aces1.41.3
Double faults1.21.8
1st serve %61.6%66%
Break %50.6%42.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

H2H · Francesco Ferrari 10 Vlad Cristian Breazu (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesco Ferrari 10 Vlad Cristian Breazu

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DateSetsGamesRes.
03/07/23
ITF M25 Brasov
2-012-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Francesco Ferrari

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Gabriele Bosio
M15 Targu Jiu
1-2 12-14 L
06/08 Robert Guna
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
04/08 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
01/08 Stefan Adrian Andreescu
M25 Pitesti
0-2 2-12 L
31/07 Gabriel Ghetu
M25 Pitesti
2-0 13-8 W
30/07 Maximilian Borisov
M25 Pitesti
2-0 12-3 W
28/07 Sebastian Gima
M25 Pitesti
2-0 12-4 W
16/07 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Vincent Dullinger
M15 Nova Gorica
2-1 14-13 W
02/07 Massimo Giunta
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Vlad Cristian Breazu

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M15 Targu Jiu
2-1 14-11 W
15/08 Gabriel Ghetu
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-5 W
14/08 Fermin Tenti
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-3 W
13/08 Ignacio Monzon
M15 Targu Jiu
2-1 15-11 W
12/08 Andrei Dumitrescu
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-0 W
11/08 Lenny Petit
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Tudor Batin
M25 Bacau
0-2 6-10 L
23/07 Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M25 Bacau
2-0 12-4 W
21/07 Louis Allen
M25 Bacau
2-0 12-3 W
15/07 Gabi Adrian Boitan
M15 Slobozia
0-2 5-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Francesco Ferrari vs Vlad Cristian Breazu?

Our model gives 69% to Vlad Cristian Breazu, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.