Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 18/08, 17:00
Prediction: Xiyu Wang vs Elina Svitolina
Team pages: Xiyu Wang · Elina Svitolina
Prediction summary
Winner
Xiyu Wang
Elina Svitolina
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Xiyu Wang
7-3 (W-L)
Elina Svitolina
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Xiyu Wang
0–1
Elina Svitolina
(1 last)
- 06 Jan1-2 13-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xiyu Wang 1538 · Elina Svitolina 1564
| Xiyu Wang | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Xiyu Wang 0–1 Elina Svitolina (1).
- Note: Elina Svitolina makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Xiyu Wang | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8.5 | 12.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 70.3% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Xiyu Wang 0 – 1 Elina Svitolina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xiyu Wang 0–1 Elina Svitolina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/24 WTA Auckland | 1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xiyu Wang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Caty McNally WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Hanyu Guo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Elina Svitolina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xiyu Wang vs Elina Svitolina?
Our model gives 67% to Elina Svitolina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.