Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 18/08, 17:00
Prediction: Otto Virtanen vs Yibing Wu
Team pages: Otto Virtanen · Yibing Wu
Prediction summary
Winner
Otto Virtanen
Yibing Wu
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Otto Virtanen
5-5 (W-L)
Yibing Wu
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Otto Virtanen 1499 · Yibing Wu 1505
| Otto Virtanen | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 44.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Otto Virtanen | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.9 | 11.8-12.7 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 77.4% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 30.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Vignesh Gogineni ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
Yibing Wu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 20/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Otto Virtanen vs Yibing Wu?
Our model gives 52% to Yibing Wu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.