Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 17/08, 23:00
Prediction: Gauthier Onclin vs James McCabe
Team pages: Gauthier Onclin · James McCabe
Prediction summary
Winner
Gauthier Onclin
James McCabe
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gauthier Onclin
6-4 (W-L)
James McCabe
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gauthier Onclin 1502 · James McCabe 1430
| Gauthier Onclin | James McCabe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gauthier Onclin (rating 1502 vs 1430).
- Gauthier Onclin is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Gauthier Onclin makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Gauthier Onclin | James McCabe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-12.7 | 11.8-13.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 24.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gauthier Onclin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
James McCabe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Noah Zamora M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Alex Bolt ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Rhys Lawlor Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gauthier Onclin vs James McCabe?
Our model gives 64% to Gauthier Onclin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.