Tennis · UTR Pro Murfreesboro · 17/08, 17:00
Prediction: Justin Chung vs John Patrick Popowich
Team pages: Justin Chung · John Patrick Popowich
Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Chung
John Patrick Popowich
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Chung
9-1 (W-L)
John Patrick Popowich
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Chung 1617 · John Patrick Popowich 1464
| Justin Chung | John Patrick Popowich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Justin Chung (rating 1617 vs 1464).
- Justin Chung is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: John Patrick Popowich makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Justin Chung | John Patrick Popowich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-6.8 | 9.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Chung
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Emmett Potter UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Miles Clark UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Rohan Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Anthony Turchi UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/01 | Muhammad Dossani UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/01 | Raul Garcia UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/01 | Nicolas Iantosca UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/01 | Nischal Spurling UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
John Patrick Popowich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Emmett Potter UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 03/04 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Santiago Lora UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/04 | Freddy Murray UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/03 | Aram Noroozian UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 03/11 | Alexander Baez UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Antonin Chapuis UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Antoine Mayoral UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Chung vs John Patrick Popowich?
Our model gives 75% to Justin Chung, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.