Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 17/08, 19:00
Prediction: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskaya
Team pages: Sorana Cirstea · Anna Kalinskaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Sorana Cirstea
Anna Kalinskaya
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sorana Cirstea
7-3 (W-L)
Anna Kalinskaya
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sorana Cirstea
2–1
Anna Kalinskaya
(3 last)
- 30 Aug2-0 12-7W
- 13 Mar2-1 17-8W
- 21 Aug0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sorana Cirstea 1518 · Anna Kalinskaya 1527
| Sorana Cirstea | Anna Kalinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sorana Cirstea 2–1 Anna Kalinskaya (3).
- Note: Anna Kalinskaya makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Sorana Cirstea | Anna Kalinskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.6 | 12.2-12.1 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Sorana Cirstea 2 – 1 Anna Kalinskaya (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorana Cirstea 2–1 Anna Kalinskaya
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/23 US Open Women | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/03/22 WTA Indian Wells | 2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 21/08/20 WTA New York | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorana Cirstea
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Maya Joint WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Sara Bejlek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Solana Sierra French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Anna Kalinskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Caty McNally WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Janice Tjen WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Diane Parry Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Magdalena Frech Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskaya?
Our model gives 51% to Anna Kalinskaya, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.