Tennis · Challenger Sion · 18/08, 10:00
Prediction: Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery
Team pages: Petr Nesterov · Calvin Hemery
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Nesterov
Calvin Hemery
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Nesterov
7-3 (W-L)
Calvin Hemery
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Nesterov 1581 · Calvin Hemery 1485
| Petr Nesterov | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Petr Nesterov (rating 1581 vs 1485).
- Petr Nesterov is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Petr Nesterov | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.2 | 11.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 11 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 75.5% |
| Break % | 53% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Nesterov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 09/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Eero Vasa M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Karl Friberg M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Ole Bredschneijder M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Calvin Hemery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Federico Cina ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Daniel Michalski ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/06 | Khololwam Montsi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Orel Kimhi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Khololwam Montsi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/05 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery?
Our model gives 61% to Petr Nesterov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.