Tennis · Challenger Prague · 16/08, 11:30

Prediction: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Andrew Paulson

Team pages: Eduardo Ribeiro

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Eduardo Ribeiro Andrew Paulson
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Eduardo Ribeiro 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLWLLWW
Andrew Paulson 2-8 (W-L)
LLWWLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eduardo Ribeiro 1472 · Andrew Paulson 1438
Eduardo RibeiroAndrew Paulson
Our model55%45%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Andrew Paulson makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Eduardo RibeiroAndrew Paulson
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 40% (10) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.20.9-1.5
Games (G-P)9.8-10.510.6-12.4
Aces2.63.6
Double faults2.35.1
1st serve %64.4%67.6%
Break %47.5%37%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eduardo Ribeiro

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Niels McDonald
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
10/08 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
04/08 George Lazarov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
08/07 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/07 Juan Sebastian Gomez
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
02/07 Samuel Heredia
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
30/06 Tomas Martinez
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
23/06 Hernan Casanova
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
17/06 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
16/06 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Andrew Paulson

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/05 Daniel Michalski
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
24/05 Stefan Latinov
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
10/05 Dominic Stephan Stricker
Challenger Zagreb · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/04 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Madrid · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
03/04 Sergio Callejon Hernando
Challenger Menorca · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
02/04 Fabrizio Andaloro
Challenger Menorca · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
01/04 Federico Arnaboldi
Challenger Menorca · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
30/03 Samuele Pieri
Challenger Menorca · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
22/03 Rudolf Molleker
Challenger Alicante · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
15/03 Michael Vrbensky
Challenger Murcia · Clay
1-2 17-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eduardo Ribeiro vs Andrew Paulson?

Our model gives 57% to Eduardo Ribeiro, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.