Tennis · UTR Pro East Lansing · 17/08, 18:30
Prediction: David Saye vs Nolan Balthazor
Prediction summary
Winner
David Saye
Nolan Balthazor
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
David Saye
6-4 (W-L)
Nolan Balthazor
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · David Saye 1521 · Nolan Balthazor 1375
| David Saye | Nolan Balthazor | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours David Saye (rating 1521 vs 1375).
- David Saye is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| David Saye | Nolan Balthazor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 10% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.5-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.5 | 7.8-13.1 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 56% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 27.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
David Saye
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11 | Zechariah Hamrouni UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/11 | Felix Obermair UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/11 | Jose Antonio Catala UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/10 | JP Day UTR Pro Champaign · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Eli Dieveney UTR Pro Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/10 | Adam Jilly UTR Pro Champaign · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Champaign · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Zachary Cohen UTR Pro Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Maximilian Borisov UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Felipe Pinzon Moreno UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Nolan Balthazor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | David Ekpenyong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 12/06 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/06 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Patricio Alvarado UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Ryan Morgan UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Jovan Lubbe UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Jon Gamble UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in David Saye vs Nolan Balthazor?
Our model gives 69% to David Saye, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.