Tennis · W15 Campos do Jordao · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Lan Mi vs Marjorie Souza
Team pages: Lan Mi · Marjorie Souza
Prediction summary
Winner
Lan Mi
Marjorie Souza
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lan Mi
5-5 (W-L)
Marjorie Souza
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lan Mi 1515 · Marjorie Souza 1560
| Lan Mi | Marjorie Souza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marjorie Souza (rating 1515 vs 1560).
Statistics
| Lan Mi | Marjorie Souza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.1 | 11.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 55.6% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 56.5% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lan Mi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Laura Badia W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/08 | Bianca M B Bia Bernardes W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Florence |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Isabella Kruger W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Katja Wiersholm W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Marjorie Souza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Victoria Luiza Barros W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Maria Fernanda Lopes W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Juliana Rodriguez W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/07 | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Oceane Babel W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Luiza Fullana W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lan Mi vs Marjorie Souza?
Our model gives 55% to Lan Mi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.