Tennis · Challenger Todi · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Alex Barrena vs Lukas Neumayer
Team pages: Alex Barrena · Lukas Neumayer
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Barrena
Lukas Neumayer
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Barrena
3-7 (W-L)
Lukas Neumayer
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Barrena
1–0
Lukas Neumayer
(1 last)
- 01 Feb2-1 16-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Barrena 1512 · Lukas Neumayer 1491
| Alex Barrena | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alex Barrena 1–0 Lukas Neumayer (1).
Statistics
| Alex Barrena | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.3 | 11.3-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Alex Barrena 1 – 0 Lukas Neumayer (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Barrena 1–0 Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/23 M25 Antalya | 2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Barrena
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Weis Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Marko Topo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Mili Poljicak ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Barrena vs Lukas Neumayer?
Our model gives 58% to Lukas Neumayer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.