Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Team pages: Elisabetta Cocciaretto · Lucrezia Stefanini
Prediction summary
Winner
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lucrezia Stefanini
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
4-6 (W-L)
Lucrezia Stefanini
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
2–1
Lucrezia Stefanini
(3 last)
- 30 Jan2-0 12-2W
- 01 Jul0-2 12-14L
- 25 Sept2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elisabetta Cocciaretto 1479 · Lucrezia Stefanini 1548
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucrezia Stefanini (rating 1479 vs 1548).
- Lucrezia Stefanini is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Elisabetta Cocciaretto 2–1 Lucrezia Stefanini (3).
- Note: Elisabetta Cocciaretto makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.7 | 10.3-8 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 53.3% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 65.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Elisabetta Cocciaretto 2 – 1 Lucrezia Stefanini (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elisabetta Cocciaretto 2–1 Lucrezia Stefanini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/24 WTA Linz | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07/20 Italian National Tour Women | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/09/19 ITF W25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Naomi Osaka WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Emma Navarro WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 29/06 | Xinyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Alina Korneeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Iga Swiatek WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Emma Navarro WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Sinja Kraus WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/04 | Alycia Parks WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lucrezia Stefanini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Sofia Kenin WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Anna Rogers WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Lucrezia Stefanini?
Our model gives 56% to Elisabetta Cocciaretto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.