Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 21:30
Prediction: Maria Timofeeva vs Xiyu Wang
Team pages: Maria Timofeeva · Xiyu Wang
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Timofeeva
Xiyu Wang
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Timofeeva
6-4 (W-L)
Xiyu Wang
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Timofeeva
1–0
Xiyu Wang
(1 last)
- 28 Jan2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1518 · Xiyu Wang 1552
| Maria Timofeeva | Xiyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maria Timofeeva 1–0 Xiyu Wang (1).
Statistics
| Maria Timofeeva | Xiyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-8.8 | 12.1-7.8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 70.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
H2H · Maria Timofeeva 1 – 0 Xiyu Wang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Timofeeva 1–0 Xiyu Wang
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/25 WTA Singapore | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Timofeeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Beatriz Haddad Maia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Whitney Osuigwe Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Xiyu Wang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Caty McNally WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Hanyu Guo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Xinyu Gao WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Timofeeva vs Xiyu Wang?
Our model gives 60% to Xiyu Wang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.