Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Alexandra Eala vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Team pages: Alexandra Eala · Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandra Eala
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandra Eala
6-4 (W-L)
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexandra Eala
0–1
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
(1 last)
- 22 Aug1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandra Eala 1598 · Elena-Gabriela Ruse 1542
| Alexandra Eala | Elena-Gabriela Ruse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Eala (rating 1598 vs 1542).
- Head-to-head: Alexandra Eala 0–1 Elena-Gabriela Ruse (1).
- Note: Elena-Gabriela Ruse makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Alexandra Eala | Elena-Gabriela Ruse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.1 | 10.3-8.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Alexandra Eala 0 – 1 Elena-Gabriela Ruse (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexandra Eala 0–1 Elena-Gabriela Ruse
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/24 US Open Women | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Belinda Bencic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/07 | Iga Swiatek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Magda Linette WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Caty McNally Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Taylor Townsend WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandra Eala vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse?
Our model gives 62% to Alexandra Eala, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.