Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 14/08, 14:00
Prediction: Saba Purtseladze vs Matej Dodig
Team pages: Saba Purtseladze · Matej Dodig
Prediction summary
Winner
Saba Purtseladze
Matej Dodig
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Saba Purtseladze
5-5 (W-L)
Matej Dodig
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Saba Purtseladze 1531 · Matej Dodig 1569
| Saba Purtseladze | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Saba Purtseladze dominates on serve: 8 aces and 100% break avg.
- Note: Saba Purtseladze makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Saba Purtseladze | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.8 | 12.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 8 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 100% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saba Purtseladze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Richard Antoni Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Toufik Sahtali Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Shunsuke Nakagawa Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Edouard Villoslada Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
Matej Dodig
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saba Purtseladze vs Matej Dodig?
Our model gives 74% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.