Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 14/08, 10:00
Prediction: Carlos Taberner vs Jan Kumstat
Team pages: Carlos Taberner · Jan Kumstat
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Taberner
Jan Kumstat
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Taberner
2-8 (W-L)
Jan Kumstat
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Taberner 1494 · Jan Kumstat 1627
| Carlos Taberner | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Kumstat (rating 1494 vs 1627).
- Jan Kumstat is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Carlos Taberner makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Carlos Taberner | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 100% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.3 | 14-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 9.3 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 80.3% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Taberner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Marko Topo Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Lorenzo Sonego Australian Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 11/01 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Adelaide · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Montemar · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/11 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Montemar · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/11 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Montevideo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Tom Zeuch Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Alan Wazny Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Mathys Erhard M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Taberner vs Jan Kumstat?
Our model gives 63% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.