Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 14/08, 07:35
Prediction: Kotaro Mochizuki vs Eita Suzuki
Team pages: Kotaro Mochizuki · Eita Suzuki
Prediction summary
Winner
Kotaro Mochizuki
Eita Suzuki
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kotaro Mochizuki
4-6 (W-L)
Eita Suzuki
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kotaro Mochizuki 1501 · Eita Suzuki 1418
| Kotaro Mochizuki | Eita Suzuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kotaro Mochizuki (rating 1501 vs 1418).
- Kotaro Mochizuki is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Kotaro Mochizuki makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Eita Suzuki makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Kotaro Mochizuki | Eita Suzuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.3 | 8-12.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 53.8% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 29.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kotaro Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Dan Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/08 | Riku Higashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Manato Uchida UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Satoru Nakajima UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Eita Suzuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Dan Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 07/08 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Ryosuke Inagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Dai Khanh Nguyen UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Ha Minh Duc Vu UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Sothoeun Yoeun UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kotaro Mochizuki vs Eita Suzuki?
Our model gives 69% to Kotaro Mochizuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.