Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 13/08, 20:30
Prediction: Bernard Tomic vs Andre Ilagan
Team pages: Bernard Tomic · Andre Ilagan
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernard Tomic
Andre Ilagan
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Bernard Tomic
5-5 (W-L)
Andre Ilagan
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bernard Tomic
2–0
Andre Ilagan
(2 last)
- 18 Oct2-0 12-5W
- 03 May2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernard Tomic 1605 · Andre Ilagan 1552
| Bernard Tomic | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bernard Tomic (rating 1605 vs 1552).
- Bernard Tomic is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Bernard Tomic 2–0 Andre Ilagan (2).
Statistics
| Bernard Tomic | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-11.3 | 13-12.3 |
| Aces | 8 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 39% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Bernard Tomic 2 – 0 Andre Ilagan (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bernard Tomic 2–0 Andre Ilagan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/24 Challenger Calgary | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/05/24 M25 Xalapa | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernard Tomic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 31/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Karen Khachanov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Alex Hernandez ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/07 | Miguel Tobon ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 19/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | James McCabe Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Andre Ilagan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Remy Bertola ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernard Tomic vs Andre Ilagan?
Our model gives 58% to Bernard Tomic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.