Tennis · M15 Asuncion · 13/08, 16:30
Prediction: Rafael Tosetto vs Maxwell Exsted
Team pages: Rafael Tosetto · Maxwell Exsted
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Tosetto
Maxwell Exsted
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Tosetto
4-6 (W-L)
Maxwell Exsted
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Tosetto 1520 · Maxwell Exsted 1546
| Rafael Tosetto | Maxwell Exsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rafael Tosetto | Maxwell Exsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.1 | 9.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Tosetto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Benjamin Torrealba M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 29/07 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Sao Paulo |
0-1 | 11-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos M15 Sao Paulo |
1-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Matias Soto M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Gustavo Albieri M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Andre Souza Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Maxwell Exsted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Nicolas Villalon M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Tomas Martinez M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Maximus Dussault M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele M25 Southaven |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 31/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Samir Banerjee M25 Edwardsville |
1-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Benjamin Berger M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Lorenzo Claverie M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Tosetto vs Maxwell Exsted?
Our model gives 61% to Maxwell Exsted, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.