Tennis · Challenger Todi · 14/08, 15:00
Prediction: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomez
Team pages: Maxim Mrva · Federico Agustin Gomez
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxim Mrva
Federico Agustin Gomez
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Mrva
4-6 (W-L)
Federico Agustin Gomez
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxim Mrva 1546 · Federico Agustin Gomez 1570
| Maxim Mrva | Federico Agustin Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maxim Mrva makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Maxim Mrva | Federico Agustin Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.4 | 11.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxim Mrva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Nick Mertgens Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Federico Agustin Gomez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 30/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Niels McDonald ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomez?
Our model gives 57% to Federico Agustin Gomez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.