Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 13/08, 12:00
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
10-0 (W-L)
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pavel Lagutin
0–1
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
(1 last)
- 16 Apr0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1632 · Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1512
| Pavel Lagutin | Rafael Izquierdo Luque | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Lagutin (rating 1632 vs 1512).
- Pavel Lagutin is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Pavel Lagutin 0–1 Rafael Izquierdo Luque (1).
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Rafael Izquierdo Luque | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-5 | 10.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Pavel Lagutin 0 – 1 Rafael Izquierdo Luque (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pavel Lagutin 0–1 Rafael Izquierdo Luque
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 M15 Ceuta | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Denia |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Denia |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Joao Dinis Silva M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Diogo Morais M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Dan Added M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque?
Our model gives 63% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.