Tennis · M15 Asuncion · 13/08, 15:00
Prediction: Nicolas Zanellato vs Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Team pages: Nicolas Zanellato · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Zanellato
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Zanellato
5-5 (W-L)
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolas Zanellato
0–1
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
(1 last)
- 27 May0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Zanellato 1534 · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1621
| Nicolas Zanellato | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1534 vs 1621).
- Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nicolas Zanellato 0–1 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (1).
Statistics
| Nicolas Zanellato | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.9 | 12.2-6 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Nicolas Zanellato 0 – 1 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolas Zanellato 0–1 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/25 ITF M25 Coquimbo | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Zanellato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Juan Bautista Otegui M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 11/08 | Jackson Pereira Xavier M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Luiz Felipe Silva M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Santiago Pesino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Juan Estevez M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Luis Jose Nakamine M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Bastian Malla M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Thiago Horacio Messa M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Zanellato vs Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo?
Our model gives 68% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.