Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Tallon Griekspoor
Team pages: Botic Van De Zandschulp · Tallon Griekspoor
Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Tallon Griekspoor
Estimated games
26.8Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
5-5 (W-L)
Tallon Griekspoor
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Botic Van De Zandschulp
2–5
Tallon Griekspoor
(7 last)
- 10 Jun1-2 13-18L
- 28 Jan0-2 8-13L
- 18 Jan0-3 12-18L
- 18 Dec2-0 14-11W
- 24 Aug2-0 13-9W
- 18 Jul1-2 8-15L
- 14 Dec1-1 6-8L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1530 · Tallon Griekspoor 1496
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 60.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Botic Van De Zandschulp 2–5 Tallon Griekspoor (7).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Tallon Griekspoor makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.4 | 1.2-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-14.2 | 14.7-15.5 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 9.4 |
| Double faults | 5 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 60.4% | 26.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.8 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +3.3
Over 23.5: 72% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 28% · 1.80
H2H · Botic Van De Zandschulp 2 – 5 Tallon Griekspoor (7)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Botic Van De Zandschulp 2–5 Tallon Griekspoor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/26 ATP Hertogenbosch | 1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 28/01/25 ATP Montpellier | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/01/23 Australian Open | 0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/12/22 Lotto NK Tennis | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08/22 ATP Winston-Salem | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07/21 Challenger Amersfoort | 1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 14/12/18 Lotto NK Tennis | 1-1 | 6-8 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 06/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Tallon Griekspoor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 30/06 | James Duckworth Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 16/06 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Matteo Arnaldi French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 19-25 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Tallon Griekspoor?
Our model gives 51% to Botic Van De Zandschulp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.