Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz
Team pages: Corentin Moutet · Hubert Hurkacz
Prediction summary
Winner
Corentin Moutet
Hubert Hurkacz
Estimated games
27.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Corentin Moutet
4-6 (W-L)
Hubert Hurkacz
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Corentin Moutet
0–1
Hubert Hurkacz
(1 last)
- 26 Feb0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Corentin Moutet 1465 · Hubert Hurkacz 1547
| Corentin Moutet | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hubert Hurkacz (rating 1465 vs 1547).
- Head-to-head: Corentin Moutet 0–1 Hubert Hurkacz (1).
- Note: Hubert Hurkacz makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Corentin Moutet | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 43% (7) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12.9 | 18.1-15.4 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 17.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 82.5% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +6.1
Over 21.5: 86% · 1.72
Under 21.5: 14% · 2.00
H2H · Corentin Moutet 0 – 1 Hubert Hurkacz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Corentin Moutet 0–1 Hubert Hurkacz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/19 ATP Dubai | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Corentin Moutet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Marcos Giron Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 22/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 09/06 | Nick Kyrgios ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Arthur Rinderknech Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/06 | Stan Wawrinka Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Hubert Hurkacz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-19 | W |
| 01/07 | Sebastian Ofner Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Casper Ruud Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Andrey Rublev ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Frances Tiafoe French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 28-31 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz?
Our model gives 66% to Hubert Hurkacz, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.